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پنجشنبه ۶ اردیبهشت ۱۴۰۳ تهران ۱۴:۳۰

چشم انداز اقتصاد ايران در سال 1381: ركود، تورم و بيكاري


فريدون خاوند (گزارش اقتصادي روز)

Summary of Today's BroadcastRFE/RL Persian ServiceMonday, March 25, 2002 - Economy in the New Year - Impurity in Street Drugs Kills Addicts - Death by Suicide: 26-Year-Old Iranian Refugee in England - 1380, The Year in Review: Foreign Relations - NYT Report on Iran-Arafat Connection Denied Economy in the New Year * Most analysts in Tehran and abroad agree with the reformist newspaper Bonyan in expecting no economic miracle during the new year. As recession turns discourages investors, joblessness grows and rising inflation erodes buying power. (Fereydoun Khavand, Paris) Impurity in Street Drugs Kills Addicts * Police say the heroin sold in Iran is 75 percent impure, causing a 60 percent increase in drug-related deaths during the past year. Roya Maleki, a journalist in Tehran, blames the impurities on the Taliban, who, she says, continue to ship narcotics from secret stockpiles to Iran and on to Europe. Maleki warns of the dangerously high level of drug use in schools and tells RFE/RL that the government officials think that by hiding the issue, it will go away. (Mahmonir Rahimi) Death by Suicide: The Plight of a 26-Year-Old Iranian Refugee in England * The rejection of his refugee application by the Home Office drove Mohsen Amri to commit suicide, secretary of the federation of Iranian refugees in England Said Arman tells RFE/RL. Another refugee and friend of Amri tells RFE/RL that his friend's failure in obtaining work permit depressed him. (Shahran Tabarai, London) 1380, The Year in Review: Foreign Relations A scholar of contemporary history and a journalist review Iran's relations with Arab and Central Asian countries. * Dr. Changiz Pahlavan says the disagreement over the Caspian legal regime continues to strain relations with the Caspian littoral states. Tehran's relations with the Central Asian republics remain at lower than desirable levels, especially with Uzbekistan. * London-based journalist Alireza Nourizadeh says the new friendship between Iran and Saudi Arabia improved Iran's relations with other Persian Gulf Arab countries; and relations also improved with Morocco, Tunisia and Jordan. Libya may soon begin a joint missile program with Iran. Khatami took big steps to lower tensions with Iraq, Nourizadeh says. (Shireen Famili) NYT Report on Iran-Arafat Connection Denied * The Palestinian Authority's ambassador to Tehran denied the New York Times report about cooperation between Iran and the Authority. US officials said they cannot confirm the paper's report. (Mina Baharmast) A Trip to Zanzibar * In this five-part documentary, RFE/RL's Ali Attar goes to Zanzibar, an island off the coast of Tanzania, to investigate the roots and customs of the descendants of Iranian immigrants there who call themselves Shirazi and celebrate the Iranian New Year. (Ali Attar) WORLD * The Lebanese minister of culture tells RFE/RL that Wednesday's Arab summit in Beirut will try to make peace a reality. Arafat is not yet cleared to attend the summit. (Jamshid Chalangi reporting from Beirut) * MP David Chidgey, member of the British Parliament's foreign relations committee tells RFE/RL that the UN should approve any move on Iraq. (Shahran Tabari, London) * Afghans hope Zahir Shah's return will bring peace, according to UN's Brahimi in an interview with Sddeutsche Zeitung. (Shahram Mirian, Cologne) * Sixty undocumented refugees will stage a 1000-kilometers walk to protest French government's refusal to provide work permits to 60,000 undocumented refugees. (Jean Khakzad, Paris) * Qaddafi's son is being groomed to succeed him. (Amir Mosaddeq Katouzian) * Qatar holds conference on democracy. (Farideh Rahbar, Cairo) * South Korea sends an envoy north to resume talks. (Siavash Ardalan) * RFE/RL's Los Angeles correspondent reports on the Academy Awards ceremony. (Fahimeh Barati) ARTS AND IDEAS Veteran composer and soloist Homayoun Paivar * RFE/RL's music historian Mahmud Khoshnam reviews the achievements of traditional soloist and composer Homayoun Paivar. Book Review & Interview: One Book, One Author * Mehi Estedadi Shad, author of "Poets and The Response of Time" tells RFE/RL that his book provides social and cultural analysis of the work of 15 contemporary poets. (Bahman Bastani)

روزنامه بنيان باور ناظران داخلي و خارجي امور ايران را منعكس مي كند و مي نويسد در اقتصاد ايران طي سال نو معجزه اي رخ نخواهد داد. ايستايي اقتصاد به اين معني است كه سرمايه ها روي آوردن به دلالي را به توليد ترجيح خواهند داد، بر تعداد بيكاران افزوده خواهد شد و نرم تورم بخش بيشتري از قدرت خريد قشر هاي تنگدست را خواهد بلعيد. اقتصاد ايران تنها به درآمد نفتي متكي است كه آن را از غرق شدن حفظ مي كند.
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